The Impact of Relative Commissions on Sale of Various Types of Life Insurance: An Application of Game Theory

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Department of Economics, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.

2 Insurance Research Center (IRC), Tehran, Iran.

10.22059/ier.2025.352116.1007593

Abstract

Iran’s below-average life insurance penetration rate relative to the global average, is caused by several factors. Sellers’ behavior and motivations can be one of these factors. Given that the distorted prices divert the resources, the imbalanced sales commission rate could generate a conflict of interest among the players in life insurance market. Universal life insurance has a substantially higher commission rate than other types. Therefore, it can incentivize sellers to offer more universal life insurance than term life insurance, regardless of customers’ needs. In this paper, we postulate that the existing sales commission system in the Iranian life insurance industry may deviate customer demand and raise the likelihood of policy surrendering. This issue is a principal-agent problem for insurer and seller, and supplier-induced demand (SID) for seller and customer. In the form of signaling games, these conflicts of interests among the players has been analyzed using descriptive-analytical method based on game theory. We observed that if the seller has the same desire to sell different types of life insurance, there is a greater likelihood that they will provide genuine advice to the customer. By reducing the surrender rate, the situation can be improved.

Keywords

Main Subjects


Abdoli, G. (2020). Game Theory and It’s Applications: Incomplete Information, Evolutionary and Cooperative Games (5th Ed.). Tehran: SAMT.
---------- (2004). Demand Induction Theory due to Information Asymmetry between Patients and Physicians. Journal of Economic Research, 40(1), 91–114. Retrieved from https://doi.org/20.1001.1.00398969.1384.40.1.4.0
Abdoli, G., & Varharami, V. (2011). The Role of Asymmetric Information in Induced Demands: A Case Study of Medical Services. Journal of Health Administration (JHA), 14(43), Pe37–Pe42, En8.
Ahmadzadeh, A., Ghanbarzadeh, M., Alimohammadi, M., Heydari, H., Afshari, S., & Jamil, S. (2019). Types of Life Insurance and Its Development Challenges in Iran With Emphasis on Non-Savings Life Insurance. Retrieved from https://www.irc.ac.ir/fa-IR/Irc/4944/Articles/view/16040/6 
Asgari, H., Khalesi, N., Nasiripour, A., & Ziyari, R. (2020). Factors Affecting Induced Demand in Iran’s Health System. Manage Strat Health Syst, 5(2), 143–154. Retrieved from http://mshsj.ssu.ac.ir/article-1-318-fa.html
Behbahani, A., & Esmaili, I. (2019). Supplier-Induced Demand (SID) for Medical Services by Iranian Physicians (Policymaking and Controlling). Majlis and Rahbord, 25(96), 321–341. Retrieved from https://magiran.com/p1939111
Birch, S. (1988). The identification of Supplier-Inducement in a Fixed Price System of Health Care Provision. The Case of Dentistry in the United Kingdom. Journal of Health Economics, 7(2), 129–150. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6296(88)90012-4
Connelly, B. L., Certo, S. T., Ireland, R. D., & Reutzel, C. R. (2011). Signaling Theory: A Review and Assessment. Journal of Management, 37(1), 39–67. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1177/0149206310388419
Cummins, J. D., & Doherty, N. A. (2006). The Economics of Insurance Intermediaries. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 73(3), 359–396. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2006.00180.x
Dzampe, A. K., & Takahashi, S. (2022). Competition and Physician-Induced Demand In A Healthcare Market With Regulated Price: Evidence from Ghana. International Journal of Health Economics and Management, 22(3), 295–313. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1007/s10754-021-09320-7
Evans, R. G. (1974). Supplier-Induced Demand: Some Empirical Evidence and Implications. In The Economics of Health and Medical Care (162–173). Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-63660-0_10
Hicks, J. R. (1939). The Foundations of Welfare Economics. The Economic Journal, 49(196), 696. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.2307/2225023
Ikegami, K., Onishi, K., & Wakamori, N. (2021). Competition-driven physician-induced demand. Journal of Health Economics, 79, Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102488
Kaldor, N. (1939). Welfare Propositions of Economics and Interpersonal Comparisons of Utility. The Economic Journal, 49(195), 549. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.2307/2224835
Kazemian, M., & Alvandi, A. (2021). Determining the Conditions and the Effect of Factors Causing Induced Demand for Iranian Health Care Markets. Daneshvar Medicine, 29(3), 78–92. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.22070/DANESHMED.2021.13898.1041
Khandan, A. (2023). Forecasting and Investigating the Impact of Various Factors on Life Insurance Lapse. Retrieved from http://www.irc.ac.ir/fa-IR/Irc/4944/Articles/view/16040/1616/
Labelle, R., Stoddart, G., & Rice, T. (1994). A Re-Examination of the Meaning and Importance of Supplier-Induced Demand. Journal of Health Economics, 13(3), 347–368. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6296(94)90036-1
Layard, P., & Walters, A. (1987). Microeconomic Theory (Internatio). New York: Macgraw-Hill Book Company.
Longden, T., Hall, J., & van Gool, K. (2018). Supplier-Induced Demand for Urgent After-Hours Primary Care Services. Health Economics (United Kingdom), 27(10), 1594–1608. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.3779
Madadi, S., Khamesian, F., Abbasianfar, H., & Rezaei, M. (2020). Comparison of Regulations for Determining Life Insurance Commissions in Iran and Selected Countries. Retrieved from https://www.irc.ac.ir/fa-IR/Irc/4946/Articles/view/14643/1274
Meyer, S. (2016). Dispensing Physicians, Asymmetric Information Supplier-Induced Demand: Evidence from the Swiss Health Survey. International Journal of Health Economics and Management, 16(3), 215–245. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1007/s10754-016-9187-3
Mohammadi, M. (2013). Existence of Advers Selection in Life Insurance. Journal of Insurance Reserch, 4, 27–54. Retrieved from https://civilica.com/doc/835889
Pournaghi Keikeleh, S., Yousefi, K., & Mehrara, M. (2022). Quantifying Supplier Induced Demand Caused by the 2014-Health Reform Plan. Economic Research, Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.22054/joer.2022.68964.1079
Reifner, U., Neuberger, D., Rissi, R., Riefa, C., Knobloch, M., Clerc-Renaud, S., & Finger, C. (2012). Study on Remuneration Structures of Financial Services Intermediaries and Conflicts of Interest. Retrieved from https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/105222/
Reinhardt, U. E. (1985). The Theory of Physician-Induced Demand Reflections after a Decade. Journal of Health Economics, 4(2), 187–193. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6296(85)90008-6
Rice, T., & McCall, N. (1983). Factors Influencing Physician Assignment Decisions under Medicare. Inquiry, 20(1), 45–56. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/29771537
Richardson, J. R. J., & Peacock, S. J. (2006). Supplier-induced Demand: Reconsidering the Theories and New Australian Evidence. Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, 5(2), 87–98. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.2165/00148365-200605020-00003
Spence, M. (1973). Job market signaling. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010
Webb, D. C. (2009). Asymmetric Information, Long-Term Care Insurance, and Annuities: The Case for Bundled Contracts. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 76(1), 53–85. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2009.01288.x
Wennberg, J. E., Barnes, B. A., & Zubkoff, M. (1982). Professional Uncertainty and the Problem of Supplier-Induced Demand. Social Science and Medicine, 16(7), 811–824. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1016/0277-9536(82)90234-9
Wharton, S. A., Cole, S., & Sarkar, S. (2016). Understanding the Incentives of Commissions Motivated Agents: Theory and Evidence from the Indian Life Insurance Market. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1978876
Yu, J., Qiu, Y., & He, Z. (2020). Is Universal and Uniform Health Insurance Better for China? Evidence From the Perspective of Supply-Induced Demand. Health Economics, Policy and Law, 15(1), 56–71. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1017/S1744133118000385
Zabrodina, V., Dusheiko, M., & Moschetti, K. (2020). A Moneymaking Scan: Dual Reimbursement Systems and Supplier-Induced Demand for Diagnostic Imaging. Health Economics (United Kingdom), 29(12), 1566–1585. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4152