The Effect of Terrorism on the Cost of Debt: Empirical Validation for a Panel of Countries

Authors

1 CGSP, Presidency of the Government; Departement of Finance & Accounting, University of Sousse, Sousse, Tunisia

2 IHEC, University of Sousse, Sousse, Tunisia

Abstract

Terrorism is considered a great threat in many countries around the world. This phenomenon affects a country's political, economic, and financial situation. This research aims to explore a new line of thinking that bears the impact of terrorism on the cost of debt. In addition, being a rough indicator of the cost of debt, we analyzed the effect of terrorism on the sovereign debt rating. This is also justified by analyzing dynamic panel data from a sample of 24 countries from 1994 to 2019. The results of our study confirm the hypothesis that terrorism would result in a higher cost of debt for the states of these countries. An increase in terrorist attacks leads to an average reduction in sovereign credit rating. This corresponds to a deterioration in the credit rating of sovereign debt, for example, from BB + to BB-.

Keywords