Adrian, T., & Shin, H. S. (2010). Financial Intermediaries and Monetary Economics. Handbook of Monetary Economics, 3, 601-650.
Ainian, M., & Barkchian, M. (2014). Identification and Dating of Business Cycles of Iran's Economy. Quarterly Journal of Monetary-Banking Research, 7(20), 161-194.
Akbar, M., Iqbal, F., & Noor, F. (2019). Bayesian Analysis of Dynamic Linkages among Gold Price, Stock Prices, Exchange Rate and Interest Rate in Pakistan. Department of Mathematics and Statistics. International Islamic University Islamabad, 62, 154–164.
Antonakakis, N., & Badinger, H. (2016). Output Volatility, Economic Growth, and Cross-Country Spillovers: New Evidence for the G7 Countries. Economic Modeling, 52, 352-365.
Apostoaie, C. M., & Percic, S. (2014). Credit Cycles and Business Cycles in Twenty EU Economies. Economics and Finance, 15, 1055-1064.
Avouyi-Dovi, S., & Matheron, J. (2005). Interactions between Business Cycles, Financial Cycles and Monetary Policy. Monetary and Economic Department, 22, 1-15.
Ball, L. M. (2014). Long-Term Damage from the Great Recession in OECD Countries. NBER Working Paper Series, 20185, 149-160.
Barro, R. J. (1990). Government Spending In a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98, 103-126.
Barseghyan, L., Battaglini, M., & Coate, S. (2013). Fiscal Policy over the Real Business Cycle: A Positive Theory. Journal of Economic Theory, 148(6), 2223-2265.
Bartoletto, S., Chiarini, B., Marzan, E., & Piselli, P. (2019). Business Cycles, Credit Cycles, and Asymmetric Effects of Credit Fluctuations: Evidence from Italy for the Period of 1861–2013. Journal of Macroeconomics, 61,103-130.
Bashiri, S., Pahlavani, M., & Boostani, R. (2017). Stock Market Bubbles and Business Cycles: A DSGE Model for the Iranian Economy. Iranian Economic Review, 21(4), 969-1002.
Beheshti, M.B., & Mohseni Zonubi, F.S. (2010). Investigation of Housing Market in Iran through Using Monetary Transition Mechanism. Journal of Economic Modeling Research, 1(1), 187-211 (in Persian).
Borio, C. (2012). The Financial Cycle and Macroeconomics: What Have We Learnt? BIS Working Papers, 395, 1-15.
Brunnermeier, M., Crockett, A., Goodhart, C., Hellwig, M., Persaud, A., & Shin, H. (2009). The Fundamental Principles of Financial Regulation. Geneva Reports on the World Economy, 11, 1-20.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W.C. (1946). Measuring Business Cycles. Working Paper, NBER, Retrieved from https://www.nber.org/books-and-chapters/measuring-business-cycles
Chen, X., Kontonikas, A., & Montagnoli, A. (2012). Credit and the Business Cycle. Economics Letters, 117, 857–861.
Claessens, S., Kose, M. A., & Terrones, M. E. 2011b. Financial Cycles: What? How? When? International Monetary Fund, Working Paper, 1, 11-76.
Claessens, S., Kose, M., & Terrones, M. (2012). How do Business and Financial Cycles Interact? Journal of International Economics, 87, 178-190.
Dargahi, H., & Charkhideh, A. (2006). The Role and Importance of Macro and Sectoral Shocks in Business Cycles of Various Industries in Iran. Iranian Journal of Economic Research, 1, 27-32 (In Persian).
Dees, S. (2016). Credit, Asset Prices and Business Cycles at the Global Level. Economic Modelling, 54, 139-152.
Drehmann, M., Borio, C., & Tsatsaronis, K. (2012). Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Do not Lose Sight of the Medium Term. BIS Working, Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=2084835
Eickmeier, S. (2015). How do US Credit Supply Shocks Propagate Internationally? A GVAR Approach. European Economic Review, 74, 128–145.
Emami, K., & Olya, M. (2012). Estimating the Production Gap and Its Impact on Inflation in the Iranian Economy. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 2, 85-59.
Eskandari, F. (2016). Bayesian Estimation of Correlation of Two Poisson Random Variables: Applicable for Firm Decision. Quarterly Journal of Iranian Economic Research, 66, 85-101.
Gholami, E., & Hejber Kiani, K. (2015). Business Cycle in Iran: the Effectiveness of Financial Incentive and Investment Programs. Quarterly Journal of Investment Knowledge, 12, 253-272.
Hemmati, A., & Zamani, R. (2007). Co-integration Relation for Oil Production in Alternative Hypotheses about OPEC Behavior. Iranian Economic Review (IER), 12(1), 27-49.
Hosseini Sarani, M. H., Jahromi, M., & Nejad, M. (2017). Investigating the Effect of Financial Performance and Business Cycle on the Capital Structure of Companies Operating In the Stock Exchange. Journal of Management and Accounting Studies, 3(3), 108-121.
Hott, C. (2009). Banks and Real Estate Prices. The Swiss National Bank, Working Paper, 1, 1009-1200.
Houshmand, M., Fallahi, M. A., & Tavakoli, S. (2008). Analysis of Business Cycles in Iranian Economy Using Hodrick-Prescott Filter. Journal of Knowledge and Development, 22, 23-48.
Jalaeii, A. M., Pour Shakibaee, A., Nejati, M., & Ansari Nasab, M. (2016). Investigating the Effects of Factors Influencing the Production Gap in the Iranian Economy. Quarterly Journal of Applied Economic Theories, 4, 100-177.
Jeffrey, H. S. (1961). Theory of Probability (3rd Ed.). Oxford: Clarendon Press.
Karimlou, M., Kazem, M., Meshkani, M. R., Jandaghi, G. R., Nouri, K., Pasha, E., & Kamal, A. (2006). Comparison of Bayesian and Classical Methods in Estimating the Parameters of Logistic Regression Model despite Missing Values in Auxiliary Variables. Journal of the School of Health and the Institute of Health Research, 4, 21-33.
Kindleberger, C. P., & Aliber, R. Z. (2005). Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises (5th Ed.). London: Palgrave Macmillan.
Kiyotaki, N., & Moore, J. (1995). Credit Cycles. National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper, 5083, 1-20.
Kydland, F. & Prescott, E. (1982). Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations. Econometrica, 50(6), 134-170.
Litterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25–38.
Lucas, R. E. J. (1977). Understanding Business Cycle. Amsterdam: North Holland.
Makian, S. N., Rostami, M., & Ramezani, H. (2018). Analysis of the Relationship between Theft and Income Inequality Bayesian Approach: (Case study of Iran). Quarterly Journal of Economic Research (Sustainable Growth and Development), 3, 145-165.
Mendoza, E. G., & Terrones, M. E. (2008). An Anatomy of Credit booms: Evidence form Macro Aggregates and Finn Level Data. NBER Working Paper, 14049, 1-15.
Metropolis, N. A. W., Rosenbluth, M. N., Rosenbluth, A. H., & Teller, E. (1953). Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines. Journal of Chemical Physics 21, 1087–1092.
Molaei, M. (2014). Business Cycles of the US Economy and a Case Study with the Iranian Economy. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research (Sustainable Growth and Development), 14(04), 229-253 (in Persian).
Mourre, G., Astarita, C., & Princen, S. (2014). Adjusting the Budget Balance for the Business Cycle: the EU Methodology. Economic Papers, Retrieved from https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:euf:ecopap:0536.
Nademi, Y., & Khochiany, R. (2017). Considering the Relationship between the Housing Sector and Some Macroeconomic Variables of Iran: The Wavelet Coherency Approach. Journal of Econometric Modelling, 2(4), 85-106 (in Persian).
Naji Meidani, A., Falahi, M., & Zabihi, M. (2010). Investigating the Dynamic Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Housing Price Fluctuations in Iran (1989 to 2007). Monetary-Financial Economics Research, 17(31), 158 -184 (in Persian).
Nili, F., & Mahmoudzadeh, A. (2014). Business and Credit Cycles. Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Retrieved from Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Olivera, C. D. (2014). The Interaction between Business and Financial Cycles, in USA, Japan and UK. ISCTE Business School, Retrieved from https://repositorio.iscte-iul.pt/bitstream/10071/9046/1/master_cristiano_duarte_oliveira.pdf
Papageorgiou, T., Michaelides, P. G., & Tsionas, E. G. (2016). Business Cycle Determinants and Fiscal Policy: A Panel ARDL Approach for EMU. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 13, 57-68.
Qing, H., Liu, F., Qian, Z., & Chong, T. (2017). Housing Prices and Business Cycle in China: A DSGE Analysis. International Review of Economics & Finance, 52, 246-256.
Rahmani, T., & Esfhani, P. (2016). The Relationship between Housing Sector Cycles, Housing Sector Credits and Delinquent Receivables. Quarterly Journal of Housing Economics, 57, 11-31.
Robertson, J. C., & Tallman, E. W. (1999). Vector Autoregressions: Forecasting and Reality. Economic Review- Federal Reserve Bank Atlanta, 84(1), 4-63.
Rostamii, M., & Karoobi, S. (2014). Investigating the Relationship between Stock Market Liquidity, Business Cycles and Economic Growth. Empirical Accounting Research, 04(11), 201-215 (in Persian).
Rostamzadeh, P., & Goudarzi Farahani, Y. (2017). Predicting the Occurrence of Business Cycles in Iran's Economy Using Intermediate Filters. Journal of Economic Policy-Making, 9(18), 41-64.
Saeedi, P. (2012) Investigating the Effect of Bank Credits on Employment. Journal of Macroeconomics, 7(14), 85-102 (in Persian).
Sayadi, M., & Bahrami, J. (2015). Evaluating the Effects of Oil Revenue Investment Policies on Economic Performance Variables in Iran: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach (DSGE). Iranian Journal of Energy Economics, 16, 85- 135.
Sayadzadeh, A., & Dikaleh Allen, J. (2008). Investigating the Characteristics of Business Courses in the Iranian Economy. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research and Policy, 16(46), 63-82 (in Persian).
Seifi, A., Mohseni Zenozi, S. J., & Rezazadeh, A. (2020). Investigating the Relationship between Credit Cycles and Business Cycles in the Iranian Economy. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, Sustainable Growth and Development, 3, 1-32.
Shahmoradi, A., Tayebnia, A., & Kavand, H. (2011). Business Cycle Features in the Iranian Economy. Iranian Economic Review, 15(28), 73-93.
Shariati, A., Moradi, M., & Zera’at Kish, S. Y. (2013). The Long-term Relationship between Stock Index Fluctuations and Oil Prices on Economic Growth in D8 Countries. National Electronic Conference on Iran's Economic Outlook with the Approach of Supporting National Production. Retrieved from https://civilica.com/doc/260197
Si, K., & Liu, X. (2019). The Co-movement and Causality between Stock Market Cycle and Business Cycle in China: Evidence from a wavelet analysis. Economic Modeling, 83, 17-30.
Sims, C. A. (2007). Bayesian Methods in Applied Econometrics or Why Econometrics Should Always and Everywhere Be Bayesian. Hoteling Lecture, 2007, 2–14.
Tayebi, K., Satee, M., & Samimi, P. (2010). The Effect of Banking Credits on Employment Generation in Iran's Economic Sectors. Journal of Money and Economics, 2(4), 1-33.
Taylor, A., & Schularick, M. (2012). Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008. American Economic Review, 102(2), 1-40.
Taylor, A., & Schularick, M. (2012). Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008. American Economic Review, 102(2), 52-65.
Vazifeh Dimerchi, Q., & Rahimi, G. R. (2010). The effects of Oil Revenues on the Business Cycles of the Iranian Economy during the Period 1989 to 2007. The Second National Conference on the Iranian Economy. Khomeini Shahr: Islamic Azad University.
West, M. (2013). Bayesian Dynamic Modeling. Clarendon: Oxford University Press.
Woodford, M. (2010). Financial Intermediation and Macroeconomic Analysis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 24(4), 21-44.
Yan, C., & Huang, X. D. (2020). Financial Cycle and Business Cycle: An Empirical Analysis Based on the Data from the US. Economic Modeling, 93, 693-701.
Yarmohammadian, N. (2018). The Business Cycles of Urban Housing Market (Case Study: Urban Housing Market of Isfahan, 1980-2014). Iranian Economic Review, 23(1), 109-128.
Yong, M., & Zhang, J. (2016). Financial Cycle, Business Cycle and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Four Major Economies. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 21(4), 502-527.